Free tool
Prop firm challenge planner
Your odds of passing FTMO, Topstep & co — quantified.
Pass probability
97.6 %
Trades to target
23
Target to reach
$8,000
Monte-Carlo simulation (5,000 challenges). Lowering risk per trade almost always increases the probability of passing.
Passing a prop firm challenge (FTMO, Topstep, The5ers…) means reaching a profit target without breaching a max daily loss or a max total loss. Your odds depend on your expectancy, but also on your risk per trade relative to the imposed limits. This planner simulates thousands of challenges (Monte-Carlo) to estimate your probability of passing and warn you if your risk is too aggressive for the rules. The best practice is still to backtest your plan before paying the fee.
Go from calculation to proof
These numbers are estimates. On GetBacktest, backtest your strategy tick by tick on real data and get a true robustness verdict.
Backtest for freeFrequently asked questions
How do I improve my odds of passing a challenge?
Lower the risk per trade below the max daily loss, aim for a solid reward/risk ratio and don't force the target. The simulation shows it with numbers.
What risk per trade for an FTMO challenge?
Often 0.5 to 1%. Beyond that, a single bad day can trigger the max daily loss and eliminate you, as the calculator's warning indicates.
Can I train before paying?
Yes — on GetBacktest, the challenge simulator reproduces target, daily loss and max drawdown on real data, so you can train without risking the fee.
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